Read on for AFL Round 9 early mail and betting leans for each game…
AFL Round 9: Collingwood v Western Bulldogs, Friday night
Early prediction: Close
The value: Pies +9.5 at TopSport
- The Bulldogs are injury depleted and look to be a long way from their best.
- Prior to an average effort against Richmond, the Pies had played well for three straight weeks.
- Collingwood has the better record (win-loss and percentage) this season so a 9 point start looks the value
AFL Round 9: North Melbourne v Port Adelaide, Saturday afternoon
Early prediction: 4-5 goal win to Port
The value: Port by 1-39 at TopSport
- Big rumblings about the coach at North this week.
- After losing their first 5, Port have won their last 3.
- North to keep this close for a half, Port too good in the end
Hawthorn v Richmond, Saturday afternoon
Early prediction: Tigers
The value: Tigers by 1-39 at TopSport
- Tigers have shown improved form over the last two weeks to work their way into the Top 8.
- Richmond has a sensational MCG record both straight-up and at the line.
- Hawks started the season strongly but have now lost three straight
St Kilda v Geelong, Saturday twilight
Early prediction: Close
The value: Saints +5.5 at TopSport
- A clash between two 5-3 teams with Top 4 aspirations.
- Saints should have won in Round 7 but then were outclassed against the Demons.
- Cats won well last week but have had quite an up-and-down season so far.
Sydney v Essendon, Saturday night
Early prediction: Lions
The value: Sydney by 1-39 at TopSport
- Huge bounce-back game for Sydney after losing at home last week to the struggling Suns
- Bombers were great last week against the Hawks in their peak performance this season
- Bombers with enough confidence to test Sydney
Adelaide v Brisbane, Sunday afternoon
Early prediction: Lions
The value: Brisbane by 1-39 at TopSport
- Brisbane is in fine form despite missing three key forwards (Daniher, Hipwood and now McStay).
- Adelaide exceeded expectations early this season but have been smashed in their last two games.
- Crows should be competitive here at home but it’s hard to see them beating Brisbane
AFL Round 9: Gold Coast v Fremantle, Sunday afternoon
Early prediction: Fremantle
The value: Fremantle by 1-39 at TopSport
- The Dockers have surprised many to sit 2nd on the ladder with a very healthy percentage.
- Freo has the best defence in the competition, are unbeaten on the road and get some key players back.
- Gold Coast recorded a strong win last week at the SCG but are easily satisfied and rarely win two in a row
GWS Giants v Carlton, Sunday afternoon
Early prediction: Blues
The value: Blues -3.5 at TopSport
- The Giants have been very disappointing in 4 of their last 5 games.
- Patrick Cripps is in career-best form to be the hot favourite for the Brownlow.
- The Blues are in good form and look very even across all areas of the ground
West Coast Eagles v Melbourne, Sunday evening
Early prediction: Demons by how far
The value: Under 166.5 at TopSport
- Melbourne is $1.02 after 14 straight wins.
- Melbourne could “go easy” on the Eagles, little to gain by belting them.
- West Coast have massive problems, won’t be fixed this week
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