Read on for NRL Round 16 early mail and value betting leans for each game…
NRL Round 16: Manly v Storm, Thursday night
Early prediction: Storm
The value: Scores level at half time | $8.25 at TopSport
- Munster likely rested for this one after playing a lot of footy in recent weeks
- Manly are being very well served by Garrick at the back in the absence of Tommy T
- Manly are not without a hope – I think it will be close for the first 40 minutes
NRL Round 16: Knights v Titans, Friday night
Early prediction: Titans
The value: Titans H2H | $2.04 at TopSport
- Loss of Ponga (Knights) and the return of Fifita (Titans) is huge.
- With only 33 tries this season, the Knights are the worst attacking team in the NRL – and Ponga is responsible for over 25% of them
- Knights woeful home record will continue here
NRL Round 16: Panthers v Roosters, Friday night
Early prediction: Panthers
The value: Scores level at half time | $9.50 at TopSport
- Panthers are an absolute juggernaut. In previous years they’ve wavered around this time, but the group is now more mature and dealing with the workload.
- Radley’s return this week will be sure to add some grunt to the Roosters’ pack and improve their halves options.
- Half time draw is at generous odds for a match that I think will be close early.
NRL Round 16: Bulldogs v Sharks, Saturday afternoon
Early prediction: Close
The value: Bulldogs H2H | $3.10 at TopSport
- Transformation of the Dogs under interim coach Mick Potter has been nothing short of sensational.
- Doggies averaged 10 points per game for Rounds 7–10. For Rounds 11-16 that’s benn 27 points… and two of their opponents were the Panthers and Eels
- Sharks have won 3 of their last 4, but two of those wins were against the Titans and the other a woeful Warriors outfit
NRL Round 16: Cowboys v Broncos, Saturday afternoon
Early prediction: Cowboys
The value: Cowboys H2H | $1.48 at TopSport
- Cowboys welcome back Tom Gilbert and Kyle Feldt
- Broncos welcome back Reynolds, and Haas set to back up.
- Cowboy at home with the climate factor tips it in their favour
NRL Round 16: Souths v Eels, Saturday night
Early prediction: Souths
The value: Souths H2H | $2.45 at TopSport
- Expect to see Walker’s form improve with Latrell back
- Eels can beat anyone when playing with confidence, but are also capable of falling apart if their passing game is not working.
- Souths to find form and announce themselves as a genuine contender
NRL Round 16: Warriors v Wests, Sunday afternoon
Early prediction: Warriors
The value: Warriors H2H | $1.45 at TopSport
- The return to a sold-out Mount Smart stadium will be a huge occasion for the Warriors, and they are running out with one of their strongest sides all year.
- With Leilua getting an early release and talk that Brooks was going to be dropped, Wests have not healed since the sacking of McGuire.
- Hastings looks to be nursing an injury, Doueihi may take a while to get going, Twal is out due to concussion concerns and Naden is suspended
NRL Round 16: Dragons v Raiders, Sunday afternoon
Early prediction: Close
The value: Scores level at 80 minutes | $16 at TopSport
- Both Hunt and Papalii have been named to back up, with Hunt most in doubt due to a leg injury
- Although Savage has his knockers, I am a huge fan of what he has brought to the Raiders and I am happy to see him given first shot at #1, with the returning CNK given a bench spot.
- The Dragons are also running pretty well on the injury front, and this game shapes as a cracker.
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