🏇 Today’s free tip from Alpha Racing
3:10pm Hawkesbury Race 4
Track Good 4
Main chances
Prices courtesy of TopSport at time of publication.
#1 Dalavin [$2.90] gets a nice draw from the inside barrier off an above-average tempo. The rider fell last start when the horse was awkward out of the gate. Before that he had plenty of country wins on the board. I have him needing a rating of 88 to win this, and his last four runs have been between 87.1 and 88.0. He’s 3/4 over the 1000 metres. This is a step up from country grade but he should be able to handle it.
Jockey Ellen Hennessy is only 4/64 over the last 60 days, but has barely get any opportunities on horses in the market. When she does she’s been fine and is 2/3 (last 60 days) on horses starting less than $4 (32/89 @ +5.74% PoT since 2019 on same category of horses).
Others in the market – #5 Mabel [$3.90], #4 Don Luigi [$4.90] – are the obvious dangers, but both are first-up.
Tip
#1 Dalavin
DataBase Ratings
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đź“° Features
- Free rated prices for today Launceston
- Blackbookers All of Trevor Lawson’s horses to follow from Cup week
- BetR is here: We checked out Australia’s newest bookie
- TopSport 5 reasons why it’s the best option for Aussie punters
🎧 Listen up!
On our latest podcast we have something very different. Combet is – to anybody’s knowledge – the first of it’s kind in the betting world. It’s an attempt to create a completely automated fixed-odds bookmaker. The punters set the odds (via auction), and then bet into the book with fluctuations controlled by algorithm.
The founder of Combet, Jake Howard, joins us to talk about it.
đź’° Melbourne Cup Week highlights
- It was a big Derby Day for Trial Spy members, with 10 units profit thanks to winners Pokerjack (Rosehill, $26), Rainbow Connection (Eagle Farm, $8.50) and Baby Paris (Ascot, $2.60)
- A big Oaks Day for members of Spring Specials, with 7.9 units profit and 3/4 winners at Flemington
- Alpha Racing also excelled on Oaks Day with 5.1 units profit
- It was a profitable week for Queensland Winners
- Trevor Lawson backed the Melbourne Cup winner, Gold Trip, at $23. Trev’s Melbourne Ratings delivered a strong profit across the week with a stack of overlay winners.
- NBA Specials has continued the strong start to the season, with 10% profit-on-turnover from 65% strike-rate
🏇 Today’s action
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- Trial Spy Hawkesbury
- Melbourne Ratings Bendigo
- Alpha Racing Hawkesbury, Bendigo
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