While Cranbourne is very much on the edge of suburban Melbourne, the Listed Cranbourne Cup is classed as a country cup and with prizemoney of $500,000, is one of Victoria’s major country cups. The race is run over 1600 metres at the end of the Victorian Spring Carnival.
Cranbourne Cup 2022: Pro punter preview
Track The rail is out 3 metres, which is fine. The way the track just depends on the weather. There’s some rain predicted in the lead-up, but it’s probably not enough to cause any major issues.
Speed The pace is really good. No Surrender goes forward with No Effort, Buffalo River and Crosshaven also pushing up on the pace. It’ll be genuinely run.
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Cranbourne Cup: Runner-by-runner
Prices courtesy of TopSport at time of publication.
6 Uncle Bryn [$4.60] put in a terrific effort to win the Sale Cup. He runs his best with a genuine tempo, which he gets here. He also gets Zahra on. He’s on the quick backup which is a big positive with this stable. Definitely the horse to beat.
9 Visinari [$4.60] is one where it’s hard to know where he’s at. He looked unimpressive winning first-up at Flemington and isnt’ going as well as last prep. He has some chance if he’s running at his best, but I’m not sure he is.
5 Our Playboy [$7] is fourth-up now and should be fully fit. He ran well in this race last year. He can settle handy from the inside barrier and is a good chance.
2 Just Folk [$9] is racing well and ran to his absolute best last start. The inside barrier allows him to settle handier here. The only thing I’d say is he needs genuine give in the track to show his best.
7 Ironclad [$9.50] put in a good effort first-up at Flemington. He’ll get back here and will be running on. He’s some chance.
11 Belle Plaisir [$12] is racing well and put in a good effort in the Empire Rose. She gets Williams on here and can settle just behind the pace. She’s a good chance.
1 Callsign Mav [$13] ran well three starts back over 1400m, winning the Group 1 Sir Rupert Clarke. He’s had excuses at his past couple of runs. He can race up on the pace and has a good chance here.
4 Buffalo River [$14] is an honest horse but finds it hard to win. There’s a lot of pace in this race and he’s only a rough chance.
10 No Effort [$15] is resuming off 77 days. She’s a good mare but that’s a huge task.
14 Flash Aah [$17] was well beaten by Uncle Bryn in the Sale Cup. It’s hard to see him turning the tables on that here.
8 Crosshaven [$26] is drawn out wide in a race where there looks to be a lot of speed. He’s a very rough chance.
12 So Si Bon [$31] hasn’t won for a very long time.
13 Lightsaber [$31] is struggling to get back to his three-year-old form. There’s good pace here and he’s only a rough chance.
3 Buckhurst [$34] and 15 No Surrender [$51] aren’t good enough to win this.
Cranbourne Cup: Betting strategy
Best bet Uncle Bryn
I’m on him here, he ticks a hell of a lot of boxes. The likely tempo suits him, he gets Zahra on and the stable has terrific stats when backing them up off seven days.
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