2022 AFL Round 3: Early mail and betting leans for each game

Read on for AFL Round 3 early mail and betting leans for each game…

AFL Round 3: Bulldogs v Sydney, Thursday night

Early prediction: Sydney
The value: Sydney @ 2.14 at TopSport

• Bulldogs coming off disappointing loss to Carlton last week
• Sydney off a 6-day break, Bulldogs off 7 days
• Swans win against Geelong didn’t get enough oxygen as it was all about Buddy

Melbourne v Essendon, Friday night

Early prediction: Goals
The value: Over 165.5 points at TopSport

• The Bombers have the worst defence in the AFL through the first two rounds
• Melbourne are missing half their premiership backline (Lever, Salem and Hibberd)
• Does the career-best form of Dees superstar Christian Petracca deserve a tag?

Adelaide v Port Adelaide, Friday night

Early prediction: Close
The value: Adelaide +20.5 at TopSport

• Both teams with 0-2 start to the season
• Early money has been for Port
• Port have won the last 4 meetings but are VERY poor at the moment

David King is concerned by Port Adelaide’s early season form. #AFL pic.twitter.com/2U1E6ILTmV

— AFL Nation (@AFLNation) March 28, 2022

AFL Round 3: GWS v Gold Coast, Saturday afternoon

Early prediction: GWS
The value: GWS 1-39 $2.10 at TopSport

• Suns have been OK so far against reigning premier Dees and a decimated West Coast
• GWS played quite well against the Swans in Round 1 but were very disappointing against Richmond
• This looks to be a genuine must-win game for the Giants to get their season up and going

AFL Round 3: Collingwood v Geelong, Saturday night

Early prediction: Geelong
The value: Geelong -14.5 at TopSport

• Sydney feasted on the Cats, but Geelong have the quality to overcome poorer opposition, as they showed in Round 1
• Collingwood are yet to be tested against quality opposition
• More injuries for Collingwood in an already weak forward line

Brisbane v North Melbourne, Saturday night

Early prediction: Brisbane
The value: Brisbane -43.5 at TopSport

• Something clicked for Brisbane in the second half last week, and they looked very damaging
• Still scope for more scoring for Brisbane: Daniher and Cameron can lift their output
• North showed they’re still a fair way off the pace by struggling to get over a shockingly depleted West Coast

AFL Round 3: Carlton v Hawthorn, Sunday afternoon

Early prediction: Carlton
The value: Carlton -8.5 at TopSport

• Impossible to back against Carlton after two big wins
• Cripps has been enormous and finally producing the form he looked capable of early in his career
• Blues midfield looks far too deep for the Hawks to deal with

Hawthorn, Carlton and Collingwood 2-0.

Wowee.

— Tim Michell (@tim_michell) March 26, 2022

St Kilda v Richmond, Sunday afternoon

Early prediction: Saints
The value: St Kilda $1.94 at TopSport

• St Kilda bounced back well in Round 2 to score a strong road win against the Dockers
• Richmond was surprisingly good last week but have a very poor recent record as favourites
• Dustin Martin missing again for personal reasons leaves a huge hole for the Tigers to try and fill

West Coast v Fremantle, Sunday night

Early prediction: Close
The value: Fremantle @ 1.90 at TopSport

• West Coast have won 11 of last 12 v Freo
• West Coast should get some players back from COVID protocols
• Freo won this match in the pre-season comp and look to have a fitter, fresher list