Read on for AFL Preliminary Finals early mail and value betting leans for each game…
AFL Preliminary Finals: Geelong v Brisbane, Friday night
Early prediction: Geelong comfortably
The value: Geelong -21.5 at TopSport
- Brisbane to get Daniher and McInerny back and have retained last week‘s matchwinner, Berry, after his suspension was overturned.
- Geelong have a great recent record over Brisbane winning 16 of the last 20 meetings, although these teams haven’t met at the MCG since 2004
- Geelong fresh after a week off, could blow them away given they will get the wide expanses of the MCG to exploit their advantages – Handballs, Uncontested Possessions and Marks Inside 50
AFL Preliminary Finals: Sydney v Collingwood, Saturday afternoon
Early prediction: Sydney
The value: Sydney by 1-39 points at TopSport
- Hard to tip against Sydney… they’re 9-1 over the past 10 games, with just a 9-point loss to Essendon
- A 27-point loss to the Swans at the SCG was Collingwood’s only loss in the second half of the home and away season.
- Sydney are 5-2 against Collingwood at the SCG since the pair’s clashes returned there from ANZ Stadium in 2015
- Taylor Adams will be sorely missed on the confined spaces of the SCG against the Sydney midfield
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