• Home
  • /
  • News
  • /
  • Melbourne Cup 2022: MEGA Preview with Cam O’Brien, Luke Murrell and Trevor Lawson

Horse Racing, Featured

Melbourne Cup 2022: MEGA Preview with Cam O’Brien, Luke Murrell and Trevor Lawson

By

|
melbourne cup 2022, australia's biggest races

Here it is… our mega preview of Melbourne Cup 2022! Get a preview on every runner and tips from three top form analysts…

  1. Melbourne Cup 2022 preview podcast Every runner with Cam, Luke and Trev
  2. Betting advice from the experts
  3. Every Melbourne Cup 2022 runner
    • 3200m+ form
    • Soft and Heavy track form
    • Latest prices from ReadyBet
    • Videos of latest wins
Melbourne Cup 2022 preview podcast

THE BOOKIE: Cameron O’Brien Cup expert, former professional punter and bookmaker at ReadyBet.com.au [starts 03:45]

THE WINNER: Luke Murrell Expert form analyst, Director of Australian Bloodstock, owner and syndicator of 2014 Cup winner Protectionist [starts 34:15]

THE PUNTER: Trevor Lawson Champion Bets analyst, ratings-based professional punter who has been betting on Melbourne racing full-time for 20 years [starts 54:00]

📺 Also on YouTube right here

Podcast timestamps
[Horse / Cameron / Luke / Trev]

Intro / 03:45 / 34:15 / 54:00
1 Gold Trip / 07:05 / 36:50 / 56:10
2 Duais / 08:20 / 38:25 / 56;55
3 Knights Order / 09:10 / 39:00 / 57:45
4 Montefilia / 10:20 / 39:25 / 58:15
5 Numerian / 11:20 / 40:20 / 58:40
6 Without A Fight / 12:05 / 40:50 / 59:00
7 Camorra / 13:00 / 41:15 / 59:40
8 Deauville Legend / 13:40 / 41:35 / 1:00:15
9 Stockman / 15:35 / 42:40 / 1:01:55
10 Vow And Declare / 16:55 / 43:05 / 1:02:20
11 Young Werther / 17:45 / 43:35 / 1:02:45
12 Hoo Ya Mal / 18:35 / 43:50 / 1:03:35
13 Serpentine / 20:25 / 45:00 / 1:04:35
14 Daqiansweet Junior / 21:05 / 45:15 / 1:04:50
15 Grand Promenade / 21:20 / 45:30 / 1:05:20
16 Arapaho / 21:45 / 45:50 / 1:05:45
17 Emissary / 22:25 / 47:10 / 1:06:05
18 Lunar Flare / 23:20 / 47:50 / 1:06:55
19 Smokin’ Romans / 23:55 / 48:05 / 1:07:15
20 Tralee Rose / 25:15 / 48:40 / 1:08:00
21 Point Nepean / 26:20 / 49:10 / 1:08:20
22 High Emocean / 26:55 / 49:30 / 1:08:50
23 Interpretation / 27:35 / 49:50 / 1:09:15
24 Realm Of Flowers / 28:10 / 50:30 / 1:10:30
Summary & betting approach / 29:25 / 51:05 / 1:11:15

You can find the Cup Countdown (and all Champion Bets podcasts) wherever you get your podcasts… just search in your pod feed or click these links:

Apple | Stitcher | Tunein | Soundcloud | Spotify | Libsyn

Melbourne Cup 2022: Betting advice from Cameron O’Brien

Let’s pretend I haven’t had any bets at this stage, which is not the case as I backed Deauville Legend a while back at good odds. I wouldn’t be on Deauville Legend at the $3.80 right now. He’s clearly the horse to beat, but with the wet track I think he’ll probably drift.

The big overs for me right now is 100% Montefilia. Her Caulfield Cup run was fantastic and it was a great Melbourne Cup trial. This wet track we’re likely to get will be so up her alley and she has a good draw from barrier 11. I think David Payne has had this race as her target from the start of this prep and nothing else has mattered. She is ready to go, Jason Collett is a good rider, she’ll love the wide open spaces of Flemington and the wet track. I think she is a massive overlay right now and is a bet for sure.

For Hoo Ya Mal it’s a matter of taking him on trust. He can win. He was $21 yesterday so he’s been backed already. If you can find $16 he’s worth a little bet.

My betting advice right now would be to back Montefilia, look to have a little something on Hoo Ya Mal, and if Gold Trip got out then look to have a little something on him. I would also say that a little each-way bet on a 1 x 3 basis on Tralee Rose at $81 win and $21 place is not silly at all.

The exotics in a race like this could pay huge. If Deauville Legend doesn’t handle the wet track for example, then suddenly you don’t have the $3.80 favourite in the first four. My advice would be to take Montefilia as they key horse in a roving first four bet and then include Deauville Legend, Hoo Ya Mal, Gold Trip, Realm Of Flowers, Knights Order, Stockman and Tralee Rose. If Montefilia doesn’t run top four I’ll be extremely surprised.

Melbourne Cup 2022: Betting advice from Luke Murrell

I think if you’re not overly confident there are better races to be betting into, but the one thing I would suggest everybody play – even if it’s just for $20 or $50 – is to try and jag a first four. Because you know it’s going to pay $30,000 or $40,000 and if you can get a couple of percent of that, you’re going to get a good collect. So instead of having $20 on something at $8 or whatever, you may as well try and get a proper collect for no outlay.

I think it’s definitely one of those races where you should be playing those wide first fours and trifectas. There’s so much mug money there, it’s a good edge.

As far as who I have on top – reluctantly it’s Hoo Ya Mal first, Gold Trip second and then one of your roughies like Interpretation or even Arapaho for third. It’s a typical year where there’s four or five winning chances, another five or six that’ll run third to seventh, and the rest are no hopers as per usual. I think there’s more money to be made in the exotics this year for sure.

Melbourne Cup 2022: Betting advice from Trevor Lawson

I think it’s a fairly even race but there are plenty of horses here that are overlays. Having the overseas horses take up so much of the market means you have to use Timeform and other third-party ratings to help try and line them up. The days of being keen and really betting up in the race have passed us by.

There are plenty of roughies here that are overlays and I don’t mind betting that way as you’re not outlaying a lot of money…  horses I’ve marked 25s and we’re getting 40s. I’m happy to play the value, spec a few in the race and hope that Deauville Legend doesn’t win.

Hoo Ya Mal looks good overs, I’ve rated it $12. He ran well in the Epsom Derby at 150/1. Next start he ran third and Deauville Legend ran second nd in the same race, with a neck between them and the same weight difference as we have here.

Emissary is one I’d be really keen on if it was going to be a dry track. He was super in a fast-run Geelong Cup, but all his best runs are on the dry and that’s not the case here. I’ve marked him $18 so he’s still overs.

Melbourne Cup 2022: Every Cup runner

Melbourne Cup odds displayed are from ReadyBet

1 Gold Trip (14) 57.5kg
$15 with ReadyBet
Ciaron Maher & David Eustace / Mark Zahra
3200m+ 0:0-0-0 | Soft 9:1-3-2 | Heavy 4:0-1-1

2 Duais (10) 55.5kg
$31 with ReadyBet
Edward Cummings / Hugh Bowman
3200m+ 0:0-0-0 | Soft 9:3-1-1 | Heavy 4:0-0-0

3 Knights Order (24) 55.5kg
$16 with ReadyBet
Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott / Tim Clark
3200m+ 3:2-0-0 | Soft 8:3-0-2 | Heavy 5:2-1-1

4 Montefilia (11) 55.5kg
$9.50 with ReadyBet
David Payne / Jason Collett
3200m+ 0:0-0-0 | Soft 10:1-1-2 | Heavy 6:2-0-2

5 Numerian (7) 55.5kg
$61 with ReadyBet
Annabel Neasham / Tommy Berry
3200m+ 0:0-0-0 | Soft 5:1-0-1 | Heavy 7:1-4-0

6 Without A Fight (18) 55.5kg
$11 with ReadyBet
Simon & Ed Crisford / William Buick
3200m+ 0:0-0-0 | Soft 5:2-0-2 | Heavy 0:0-0-0

7 Camorra (17) 55kg
$61 with ReadyBet
Ben & JD Hayes / Ben Melham
3200m+ 0:0-0-0 | Soft 7:2-0-1 | Heavy 4:0-1-1

8 Deauville Legend (9) 55kg
$3.40 with ReadyBet
James Ferguson / Kerrin McEvoy
3200m+ 0:0-0-0 | Soft 0:0-0-0 | Heavy 0:0-0-0

9 Stockman (2) 54kg
$31 with ReadyBet
Joseph Pride / Sam Clipperton
3200m+ 1:0-0-0 | Soft 13:3-3-2 | Heavy 10:4-2-0

10 Vow And Declare (4) 54kg
$31 with ReadyBet
Danny O’Brien / Blake Shinn
3200m+ 2:1-0-0 | Soft 8:2-0-2 | Heavy 1:0-0-0

11 Young Werther (21) 54kg
$51 with ReadyBet
Danny O’Brien / Damian Lane
3200m+ 0:0-0-0 | Soft 4:0-2-0 | Heavy 1:0-0-0

12 Hoo Ya Mal (15) 53.5kg
$13 with ReadyBet
Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott / Craig Williams
3200m+ 0:0-0-0 | Soft 2:1-0-0 | Heavy 1:0-0-1

13 Serpentine (23) 53.5kg
$81 with ReadyBet
Robert Hickmott / John Allen
3200m+ 2:0-0-0 | Soft 6:0-1-0 | Heavy 2:0-0-0

14 Daqiansweet Junior (13) 53kg
$61 with ReadyBet
Phillip Stokes / Daniel Moor
3200m+ 2:1-0-1 | Soft 4:0-0-0 | Heavy 5:0-0-2

15 Grand Promenade (1) 53kg
$101 with ReadyBet
Ciaron Maher & David Eustace / Harry Coffey
3200m+ 1:0-0-0 | Soft 6:2-2-0 | Heavy 2:0-0-0

16 Arapaho (19) 52.5kg
$81 with ReadyBet
Bjorn Baker / Rachel King
3200m+ 0:0-0-0 | Soft 13:5-2-1 | Heavy 7:1-2-1

17 Emissary (3) 51.5kg
$31 with ReadyBet
Michael Moroney / Patrick Moloney
3200m+ 0:0-0-0 | Soft 2:1-0-0 | Heavy 2:0-0-0

18 Lunar Flare (12) 51.5kg
$21 with ReadyBet
Grahame Begg / Michael Dee
3200m+ 0:0-0-0 | Soft 10:3-1-1 | Heavy 3:0-1-1

19 Smokin’ Romans (16) 51.5kg
$18 with ReadyBet
Ciaron Maher & David Eustace / Jamie Kah
3200m+ 0:0-0-0 | Soft 8:2-3-0 | Heavy 3:1-1-0

20 Tralee Rose (22) 51.5kg
$61 with ReadyBet
Symon Wilde / Dean Yendall
3200m+ 2:0-0-0 | Soft 8:2-3-0 | Heavy 0:0-0-0

21 Point Nepean (20) 51kg
SCRATCHED
Robert Hickmott / Wayne Lordan
3200m+ 0:0-0-0 | Soft 4:2-0-0 | Heavy 0:0-0-0

22 High Emocean (8) 50kg
$51 with ReadyBet
Ciaron Maher & David Eustace / Teo Nugent
3200m+ 0:0-0-0 | Soft 9:3-1-2 | Heavy 3:2-0-1

23 Interpretation (6) 50kg
$41 with ReadyBet
Ciaron Maher & David Eustace / Craig Newitt
3200m+ 0:0-0-0 | Soft 5:1-0-0 | Heavy 1:0-0-0

24 Realm Of Flowers (5) 50kg
$9.50 with ReadyBet
Anthony & Sam Freedman / Damien Thornton
3200m+ 2:0-1-0 | Soft 14:4-3-1 | Heavy 2:0-0-2

Melbourne Cup 2022 will be the 162nd running of the great race. Look back over the history of The Race That Stops A Nation with our 8 Unforgettable Melbourne Cup moments.

Punt like a pro with Trevor Lawson’s Melbourne Ratings.

As well as a full set of rated prices, speed maps and suggested bets, you can spend each and every raceday with a pro punter: the Melbourne Ratings Live Page gives you direct access to Trev himself to ask whatever you like.

If you're keen to win, it’s the only way to punt.

WATCH: 8 Unforgettable Melbourne Cup winners


Nobody can deny the Melbourne Cup’s status. It’s still the one race of the year that the entire country –…Read More

Victoria Derby: Pro punter preview, video and betting strategy


It’s Melbourne Cup week’s three-year-old classic and the feature on the opening day, the $2 million Victoria Derby. The young…Read More

Golden Eagle: Expert preview, video, top pick and value play


A relatively new feature race (first run in 2019), the Golden Eagle is a race exclusively for four-year-old horses. The…Read More

champion bets logo

Champion Bets has been Australia’s favourite source of betting tips for almost 15 years. With professional punters and expert analysts across a variety of sports including Horse Racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, NFL, Golf and more; there’s a membership for everyone.

About

Premium Tips

Legal

Contact

Follow us

This page is explicitly18+ only. Gamble Responsibly. Visit www.gamblinghelponline.org.au or call Gambling Help on 1800 858 858. Copyright © 2021 Champion Bets