2022 AFL Round 11: Early mail and betting leans for each game

Read on for AFL Round 11 early mail and betting leans for each game…

AFL Round 11: Sydney v Richmond, Friday night

Early prediction: Close
The value: Tigers +11.5 at TopSport

• A clash between two teams with a 6-4 record and identical percentage.
• Swans have dropped two of their last three at the SCG.
• Richmond has reeled off 4 straight wins by 4 goals+

Brisbane v GWS, Saturday afternoon

Early prediction: Close
The value: Giants +33.5 at TopSport

• Big bounce-back home game for Brisbane after loss in Tassie last week
• Giants will play with freedom under McVeigh.
• Giants are 5-3 at The Gabba v Brisbane

Mark McVeigh joined Garry and Bucks to talk about his first game in charge, their upcoming challenge against Brisbane, and the inclusion of James Hird and Dean Solomon 🎙 #BigBigSound

— GWS GIANTS (@GWSGIANTS) May 23, 2022

AFL Round 11: Geelong v Adelaide, Saturday afternoon

Early prediction: Geelong
The value: Geelong -44.5 at TopSport

• Adelaide is faltering with four straight losses
• Adelaide haven’t won in Geelong for nearly 20 years
• Hawkins and/or Cameron could have a day out

Melbourne v Fremantle, Saturday afternoon

Early prediction: Melbourne
The value: Melbourne -28.5 at TopSport

• Impossible to back against Melbourne, who keep meeting every challenge
• Two straight losses for Freo, a few cracks starting to appear
• Six-day break plus travel for Freo after a tough wet-weather battle with Collingwood last week

West Coast v Western Bulldogs, Saturday night

Early prediction: Bulldogs blowout
The value: Bulldogs by 40+, $1.74 at TopSport

• West Coast have lost 6 in a row by an average of 77 points.
• Bulldogs won here last season by 55 points.
• Bulldogs are improving, West Coast are cooked for 2022

Gold Coast v Hawthorn, Saturday night

Early prediction: Suns
The value: Total points over 162.5 at TopSport

• Warm weather predicted for this clash in Darwin.
• Suns recorded two strong wins prior to a competitive effort against the Bulldogs in Ballarat.
• Hawks have scored 81 points or more in each of their last 4 games and have a strong interstate record

AFL Round 11: St Kilda v North Melbourne, Sunday afternoon

Early prediction: St Kilda
The value: St Kilda 1-39, $2.65 at TopSport

• North will take some confidence out of a reasonable showing against Melbourne last week
• St Kilda aren’t blowing teams away
• Saints have been slow starters this season, so expect a close-ish first half

AFL BRIEFING | St Kilda forward Jack Higgins will miss at least one more game after being ruled out of the Saints’ clash with North Melbourne due to health and safety protocols.https://t.co/2Gx5n4T7le

— Real Footy (AFL) (@agerealfooty) May 24, 2022

Collingwood v Carlton, Sunday afternoon

Early prediction: Carlton, but could be close
The value: Carlton 1-39, $2.18 at TopSport

• Early money for Collingwood
• Collingwood’s win over Freo last week was top class
• Carlton just keep winning

Port Adelaide v Essendon, Sunday afternoon

Early prediction: Port easily
The value: Total under 150.5 points at TopSport

• Port has dominated this match-up with 3 straight wins by 50+ points
• Bombers put in a better effort in the Dreamtime game last week, but can they sustain it?
• Wet weather is forecast in Adelaide all week, including on gameday

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