2022 AFL Round 16: Early mail and betting leans for each game

Read on for AFL Round 16 early mail and value betting leans for each game…

AFL Round 16: Brisbane v Bulldogs, Thursday night

Early prediction: Close
The value: Bulldogs +17.5 | $1.97 at TopSport

• Brisbane was poor last week but they do have a very strong home record
• Bulldogs have 7 wins and 3 close losses from their last 10 games
• Bulldogs have covered the betting line in 5 of their last 6 games

$1.97

AFL Round 16: Carlton v St Kilda, Friday night

Early prediction: Carlton
The value: Carlton -8.5 | $1.90 at TopSport

• Both off a six-day break
• Carlton beat Freo comfortably last week, while St Kilda were smashed by Sydney
• Hard to have faith in St Kilda after two very poor performances

$1.90

AFL Round 16: Essendon v Sydney, Saturday afternoon

Early prediction: Sydney easily
The value: Sydney -16.5 | $1.90 at TopSport

• Sydney have won the last 3 v Essendon but none played at the MCG
• Essendon won most of the big stats against West Coast last week but butchered the footy
• Sydney did the demolition job on St Kilda, a proper statement game
• Hard to see Essendon getting close to Sydney

$1.90

AFL Round 16: Adelaide v Melbourne, Saturday afternoon

Early prediction: Dees easily
The value: Total points under 161.5 | $1.90 at TopSport

• Melbourne got back on track last week with an MCG mauling of Brisbane
• They’ve now won 17 straight games that Steven May has finished on the ground
• The total match points has gone under in the Dees’ last five on the road

$1.90

AFL Round 16: Geelong v North Melbourne, Saturday night

Early prediction: Geelong in a canter
The value: Geelong -65.5 | $1.85 at TopSport

• Only question is really whether Geelong can cover the line
• North’s inability to score should be the deciding factor – last week’s 58 points was their highest in 7 weeks
• Look for a day out for Hawkins and Cameron, particularly if Ben McKay stays forward.

$1.85

AFL Round 16: Gold Coast v Collingwood, Saturday night

Early prediction: Close
The value: Collingwood by 1-39 points | $2.50 at TopSport

• Early money has been for Collingwood and it’s now a coin flip with both teams at $1.90
• Collingwood have won 7 of the last 8 meetings, most recently in Round 7 (by 25pts)
• Gold Coast grinded but couldn’t get over Port in a tight one last week
• Collingwood were solid for 3 very good quarters against GWS

$2.50

---

AFL Round 16: Richmond v West Coast, Sunday afternoon

Early prediction: Richmond
The value: Richmond by 40+ points | $1.95 at TopSport

• West Coast finally got a win last week, but it wasn’t due to any real improvement on their part
• The Tigers at the G are a totally different proposition.
• Richmond are travelling very well: 6-2 over the past two months, with the losses by 6 and 3 points.

$1.95

---

AFL Round 16: GWS v Hawthorn, Sunday afternoon

Early prediction: Giants
The value: Giants by 1-39 points | $2.04 at TopSport

• The Hawks have lost 4 straight games either side of their Round 10 win
• Their defence has allowed 90+ points in 8 of those 9 games
• GWS has been quite competitive under interim coach Mark McVeigh

$2.04

---

AFL Round 16: Fremantle v Port Adelaide, Sunday afternoon

Early prediction: Close
The value: Freo by 1-39 points | $2.02 at TopSport

• Port have won the last 3 v Freo
• Freo have won 9 of the last 10 v Port in Perth
• Freo’s loss to Carlton last week is a wake-up call for more consistency
• A rusty Fyfe should be better here with another game under his belt
• Port limped home against Gold Coast but are competitive in every game now

$2.02

---

Don't spend this season making donations to the bookies. AFL Tips is back for 2022: get on board now and start betting with an edge.